№ 1 January/March 2007
  • On the Eve of Change

    Russia is entering a momentous election season. In December, Russian voters will elect a new parliament, while in March 2008 they will vote for a new president.

  • Are the Energy Majors in Decline?

    The Shtokman project may be a forerunner of critical changes in the global energy sector. The older-generation majors are heading for very tough competition. The governments of the resource-rich countries, and national companies enjoying governmental support are interested in reducing the role of transnational corporations to that of ordinary contractors.

  • Energy Partnership – A Dialog in Different Languages

    The difference in approaches and the need to search for a compromise between diametric views de facto predetermines the structure of any future agreement between Russia and the EU. This can only be a general strategic partnership agreement and a number of sector-specific agreements, which will be used as a platform for a complex compromise between two visions.

  • Security Services, Police, and Human Rights

    States should take inventory of the laws that regulate the limitations on human rights in the course of implementation of security measures. Most importantly, they should ensure various controls over security services and police by parliamentary and governmental bodies.

  • Self-Determination: Between Law and Politics

    Can Kosovo’s imminent independence be seen as a precedent in resolving other internal state conflicts, including in the former Soviet republics? This problem has gone from being a subject of academic dispute to an explosive element of Realpolitik.

  • East Asia and Russia’s Development Strategy

    Although Russia has stepped up its military and political presence in East Asia, it has not yet gained the required levers of influence in the region. It fails to take into account the geopolitical changes there, while it views the changing situation in a simplified, outdated way: through the prism of its rivalry with the United States.

  • The 21st Century Mafia: Made in China

    As China continues to consolidate its leading positions in the global economy, Chinese organized crime is expected to broaden its presence in global criminal links. This is of tremendous concern for Russia and the world.

  • Strengths and Weaknesses of the Russian Economy

    Russia entered its postindustrial transformation much later than the West. In fact, we must choose an effective model of a postindustrial market and produce a set of state policy instruments that will ensure its proper functioning.

  • Russia Against the Background of Major Economies

    In the long term, Russia will inevitably be a strong state economically and will rank first in Europe and fifth or sixth in the world in terms of GDP. But the situation is different from the political, social or civilizational points of view: unless Russia makes a final choice in favor of globalization and Europeanization, anything can happen to this country.

  • A Development Strategy for Russia’s Largest Cities

    Proponents of globalization believe that Russia’s largest cities must follow in the footsteps of the ‘global cities’ and compete for command positions in the global economy, using the geopolitical and geo-economic advantages of their Eurasian location and Soviet-era heritage. This does not seem very realistic. Around Russia

  • An Audit of Russia’s Foreign Policy

    A country seeking to return to the global stage as a major actor must find a well-planned solution to the problem of providing its foreign policy with sufficient resources. The volatility of foreign policy spending reveals the main problem: political decisions in Russia are poorly translated into budgetary categories and specific plans with a particular price tag.

  • Historical Struggle for the Black Sea Fleet

    Some forces in Kiev, under various pretexts, are again calling into question the agreement that settled the fleet conflict between Russia and Ukraine. It would be helpful to recollect exactly how the unprecedented diplomatic marathon, which was full of dramatic twists and turns, helped to untie one of the most complicated knots between the two states.

  • Russia Must Regain the Initiative in Moldova

    Russia’s position in the Transdnestr settlement, which can be described as "defense on the Dniestr", has no chances for success, as political resources for preserving the status quo are limited. Preservation of the status quo, sought only by Tiraspol and to some extent by Moscow, is against the plans of all the other interested parties.

  • The Evolution of the Global Energy Market

    The main task facing Russia in the next decade will be to provide conditions to minimize expected losses, first, from its declining presence on world oil and gas markets, and second, from falling world energy prices.

  • Europe as the "Center", and Its "Outskirts"

    Europe is gradually turning into a kind of a community of personalities, whereas the United States and Russia are consolidating a society of citizens (or even subjects).

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Европа больше не растет (4)

Уходящий год принес сразу несколько крутых изменений во внешнем окружении России.

Колонка редактора

Спасти тирана (1)

Гражданская война в Сирии даже с учетом мощного внешнего давления, вероятнее всего, будет жестокой, масштабной и продолжительной, а ее результат непредсказуем.

Сирийские часы идут вперед

Каковы варианты развития сирийского конфликта? Какую роль играют Россия, Запад и страны Востока в его урегулировании?

Нестандартная Грузия (4)

Грузинам, которые всегда ценили свою культуру и историю, предлагается забыть о прошлом, чтобы его химеры не мешали светлому будущему.

Развод по-украински

История Беловежских соглашений для россиян сейчас выглядит почти детской сказкой.

Рецензии и обзоры

Чего хочет Китай (2)

Как ценитель тонкой дипломатии, Генри Киссинджер находит немало поводов для восхищения Китаем.

Франция. Время Саркози

Анализировать политические события, современником которых является исследователь, – занятие непростое.